SecurEnergy EU

Import exposure

EU Energy Import Exposure and Dependency Indicators

Separate the project’s GDP-scaled ESS exposure channels from conventional import-to-consumption ratios before interpreting EU energy dependence.

Open interactive dashboard ↗ Review methodology

Data build reviewed 2026-07-13 · English

SecurEnergy uses two related but non-interchangeable views. ESS1 scales oil and gas exposure through the project’s energy-and-GDP formula, while the conventional benchmark divides imports by consumption. ESS1 values are index inputs—not official Eurostat import-dependency percentages.

0.0237EU27 ESS1 fossil-exposure ensemble in 2024
-37.1%Change in the ensemble since 2015; lower is the stronger direction
0.626EU27 domestic-production coverage indicator (ESS3) in 2024

How the indicators differ

MeasureProject definitionInterpretation
ESS1 oilGDP-scaled oil-import exposure within the adapted ESS frameworkLower values indicate lower modeled exposure
ESS1 gasGDP-scaled gas-import exposure within the adapted ESS frameworkLower values indicate lower modeled exposure
Conventional benchmarkImports divided by product consumptionA direct ratio used for comparison, not an ESS value
ESS3Domestic energy production divided by total energy consumptionHigher values indicate stronger domestic-production coverage

Reading EU energy dependence responsibly

Broad energy dependence also varies by fuel, supplier, infrastructure and time period. A falling aggregate exposure signal can coexist with concentration in a specific fuel or partner. The dashboard therefore connects trend indicators to product-partner evidence rather than presenting one number as a complete security verdict.

For the official import-dependency rate and current EU statistics, consult Eurostat’s Energy in Europe interactive publication. Use this project for reproducible indicator comparison and scenario exploration, not as a substitute for the official statistic.

Interpretation guardrail: lower ESS1 and ESS2 values are the stronger direction; higher ESS3 values are the stronger direction. The displayed ESS4 trajectory normalizes those directions to a 2015 = 100 index.

Continue the analysis

Compare countries

Review the same ESS metrics for each EU member state against the EU27 reference.

Open country comparisons

Identify suppliers

Move from aggregate exposure to selected oil, gas and solid-fuel partner evidence.

Explore import partners